So far at least, 2017 has proven an uncommonly easy year to make money.
Despite a recent spate of anxiety-provoking events, many major assets are significantly higher on the year. The S&P 500 has risen 10 percent, gold futures are up 16 percent and Treasury bonds (judging by the popular Barclays long-term Treasury bond index) has gained 6 percent.
Nearly four full months remain
ahead of us. But if 2017 were to end today, it would go down as the
first year in which all three have risen by more than 5 percent since
1993, according to a CNBC analysis of FactSet data.
To be sure, there is something a bit
odd about the concurrent rallies. Stocks and Treasury bonds are
considered to be classic investment alternatives, with demand for the
former reflecting economic optimism, and demand for the latter
reflecting an urge to shelter one's money. Gold is seen as an asset
that's turned to in times of rising fear and rising inflation; fear
tends to be bad for stocks, and inflation is generally bad for bonds.
Given the contrary nature of
their bullish drivers, it is little surprise that stocks, bonds and gold
do not all tend to move significantly higher at once.
This year, the tripartite rally
reflects "an environment of slight to moderate economic growth," Ari
Wald of Oppenheimer said Tuesday on CNBC's "Trading Nation."
In other words, the economy is
strong enough to help companies earn more money and hence keep their
stocks rising — but inflation that's turning out to be more moderate
than expected is protecting bonds, and enough serious concerns abound to
keep gold bid.
Of course, drawing broader lessons from the macro moves may well prove a fool's errand.
"I don't necessarily think that
just because all these asset classes are working, it's telling us
something," portfolio manager Mike Binger of Gradient Investments said
Tuesday on "Trading Nation."
"It's great, and enjoy it," Binger added.
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